Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 166.588247 194.032722 226.149166 266.911517 317.850922 380.195079 4.635142e+02
2025-06-01 128.290430 161.406827 204.454177 265.963859 354.124707 480.171651 6.825403e+02
2025-06-08 106.322501 140.429057 187.869259 261.296949 377.300649 563.783480 9.113380e+02
2025-06-15 95.525184 131.377304 184.188002 271.857857 423.224022 695.499034 1.286818e+03
2025-06-22 82.045730 115.856840 167.584769 257.638087 423.110093 746.257674 1.536582e+03
2025-06-29 74.040969 107.220552 159.871853 255.927064 443.907557 844.069950 1.960461e+03
2025-07-06 67.763498 100.329305 153.712367 255.325567 466.189799 953.996543 2.510970e+03
2025-07-13 65.354667 99.273411 157.022618 272.650939 530.472144 1193.675455 3.738121e+03
2025-07-20 63.689726 99.171221 161.862692 293.901006 610.962262 1525.692536 5.885442e+03
2025-07-27 59.899659 94.912934 158.430704 297.210640 649.396373 1760.397843 8.126604e+03
2025-08-03 57.111813 92.099134 157.290011 305.216383 703.167892 2087.960417 1.198212e+04
2025-08-10 53.754662 87.887805 152.844869 304.779950 733.550612 2355.726696 1.659681e+04
2025-08-17 50.807309 84.483373 150.263636 310.084617 789.654735 2818.554022 2.702102e+04
2025-08-24 47.492901 80.098845 145.208104 308.645374 826.269540 3253.433624 4.319486e+04
2025-08-31 44.232390 75.477202 139.020943 302.968496 846.870572 3643.402528 6.761516e+04
2025-09-07 42.719604 74.124084 139.697051 315.801707 942.051342 4664.206194 1.639720e+05
2025-09-14 39.258596 68.536138 130.262783 298.529315 912.894072 4780.272955 2.277854e+05
2025-09-21 37.157099 65.538706 126.364979 296.454850 946.524405 5482.497625 5.000945e+05
2025-09-28 35.339483 62.965618 123.137362 295.725788 986.730687 6366.170492 1.443515e+06
2025-10-05 34.927706 63.284827 126.740451 316.766701 1141.822689 9016.370945 5.511520e+07
2025-10-12 34.712172 63.994261 131.391842 342.687223 1345.788493 13595.485029 NaN
2025-10-19 33.411226 62.217265 129.617195 346.735155 1435.256674 17094.645457 NaN
2025-10-26 32.458546 61.128161 129.464419 356.538643 1570.137469 23047.838839 NaN